Dr. John T. Fasullo

2024

Martinez, C. J., I. R. Simpson, J. T. Fasullo, A. F. Prein, 2024: An Evaluation of the Seasonal Caribbean Hydroclimate in Low and High-Resolution CESM and other CMIP6 Models, Climate Dynamics, doi: 10.1007/s00382-024-07516-4. Upadhyaya, P., S. Mishra, J. T. Fasullo, I.-S. Kang, 2024: Attributing the recent weakening of the South Asian subtropical westerlies, npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, doi: 10.1038/s41612-024-00777-0. Fasullo, J. T., N. Rosenbloom, and R. Buchholz, 2024: The Influence of Anomalous Biomass Emissions on ENSO in CESM2, J. Clim., doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-24-0148.1. Siqueira, L., B. P. Kirtman, L. C. Laurindo, J. T. Fasullo, A. Hu, 2024: Quantifying the Role of Ocean Dynamics in SST Variability across GCMs and Observations, J. Clim., doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0686.1. Meehl, G. A., C. A. Shields, J. M. Arblaster, R. Neale, A. Hu, H. Annamalai, J.-C. Golaz, J. Fasullo, N. Rosenbloom, L. Van Roekel, and A. Capotondi, 2024: Processes that contribute to future South Asian monsoon differences in E3SMv2 and CESM2, Geo. Res. Lett., doi:10.1029/2024GL10905. Fasullo, J. T. et al. 2024: An Overview of the E3SM version 2 Large Ensemble and Comparison to other E3SM and CESM Large Ensembles, Earth System Dynamics, 15, doi: 10.5194/esd-15-367-2024. Fasullo, J. T. et al. 2024: Modes of Variability in E3SM and CESM Large Ensembles, J. Clim., doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0454.1. Cheng, L., Abraham, J., Trenberth, K.E., Boyer, T., Mann, M. E., Zhu, J., Wang, F., Yu, F., Locarnini, R., Fasullo, J. T., Zheng, F., Li, Y., Zhang, B., Wan, L., Chen, X., Wang, D., Feng, L., Song, X., Liu, Y., Reseghetti, F., Simoncelli, S., Gouretski, V., Chen, G., Mishonov, A., Reagan, J., Von Schuckmann, K., Pan, Y., Tan, Z., Zhu, Y., Wei, W., Li, G., Ren, Q., Cao, L. & Lu, Y.. New Record Ocean Temperatures and Related Climate Indicators in 2023. Adv. Atmos. Sci. (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-024-3378-5. Holland, M. et al. New model ensemble reveals how forcing uncertainty and model structure alter climate simulated across CMIP generations of the Community Earth System Model, Geosci. Model Devel. doi: 10.5194/gmd-2023-125.

2023

Hernandez, D. et al Observed changes in hydroclimate attributed to human forcing PLOS Climate, doi: 10.1371/journal.pclm.0000303. Meehl et al., Effects of climate base state on intraseasonal, seasonal, and interannual characteristics of the South Asian Monsoon in E3SMv2 and CESM2, Geo. Res. Lett., doi: 10.1029/2023GL104313. Sinha, S., J. T. Fasullo, R. S. Nerem, and C. Monteleoni, Sea Level Projections with Machine Learning Using Altimetry and Climate Model Ensembles, Tackling Climate Change with Machine Learning, Artificial Intelligence for the Earth Systems, doi: 10.1175/AIES-D-23-0089.1.. Mishra and co-authors: A Need for Actionable Climate Projections Across the Global South, Nature Climate Change.. Yamaguchi, J.-E. and coauthors (2023). Persistent ocean anomalies as a response to northern hemisphere heating induced by biomass burning variability. J. Clim., doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0090.1. Kim, J.-E. and coauthors (2023). Interannual fires as a source for subarctic summer decadal climate variability mediated by permafrost thawing. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science , doi: 10.1038/s41612-023-00415-1. Fasullo, J. T., Rosenbloom, N., & Buchholz, R. (2023). A multiyear tropical Pacific cooling response to recent Australian wildfires in CESM2. Science Advances, 9(19), eadg1213, doi: 10.1126/sciadv.adg121. Cheng et al. 2023, Another year of record heat for the oceans, Adv. Atm. Sci., doi: 10.1007/s00376-023-2385-2. Fasullo and Richter 2023: Dependence of Strategic Solar Climate Intervention on Background Scenario and Model Physics, Atm. Chem. and Physics , doi: 10.5194/acp-23-163-2023.

2022

PoChedley et al. 2022: Internal variability and forcing influence model-satellite differences in the rate of tropical tropospheric warming. Proc. Nat. Aca. Sci., doi: 10.1073/pnas.2209431119. Cheng, Lijing, Karina von Schuckmann, John P. Abraham, Kevin E. Trenberth, Michael E. Mann, Laure Zanna, Matthew H. England, Jan D. Zika, John T. Fasullo, Yongqiang Yu, Yuying Pan, Jiang Zhu, Emily R. Newson, Ben Bronselaer and Xiaopei Lin. 2022: Past and future ocean warming. Nat. Rev. Earth. Environ. (2022). https://doi.org/10.1038/s43017-022-00345-1. DeRepentigny, P., Jahn, A., Holland, M., Kay, J., Fasullo, J., Lamarque, J. F., ... & Barrett, A. (2022). Enhanced simulated early 21st century Arctic sea ice loss due to CMIP6 biomass burning emissions, doi: 10.1126/sciadv.abo2405. Loeb et al. 2022: Evaluating Twenty-Year Trends in Earth's Energy Flows from Observations J. Geo. Res. Atm., doi: 10.1029/2022JD036686. Stevenson et al. 2022: 21st Century Hydroclimate: A Continually Changing Baseline, with Stronger Extremes, Proc. Nat. Aca. Sci., doi: 10.1073/pnas.2108124119. Fasullo, J.T., et al, 2022: Spurious Late Historical-Era Warming in CESM2 Driven by Prescribed Biomass Burning Emissions, Geo. Res. Lett., doi:10.1029/2021GL097420. Cheng, L., J. Abraham, K. E. Trenberth, J. Fasullo, T. Boyer, M. E. Mann, J. Zhu, F. Wang, R. Locarnini, Y. Li, B. Zhang, Z. Tan, F. Yu, L. Wan, X. Chen, X. Song, Y. Liu, F. Reseghetti, S. Simoncelli, V. Gouretski, G. Chen, A. Mishonov, J. Reagan, 2022: Another record: Ocean warming continues through 2021 Despite La Niña Conditions. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-022-1461-3. Aubry, T. J., Farquharson, J. I., Rowell, C. R., Watt, S. F., Pinel, V., Beckett, F., ... & Sykes, J. S. (2022). Impact of climate change on volcanic processes: current understanding and future challenges. Bulletin of Volcanology, 84(6), 1-11, doi: 10.1007/s00445-022-01562-8.

2021

Tewari, K, S. K. Mishra, J. Fasullo and A. Dewan, 2021: Impact of the Antarctic Topography on Meridional Energy Transport and its Consequential Effect in the Monsoon Circulation, Quart. Jour. Roy. Met. Soc., doi:10.1002/qj.4128. Fasullo, J. T., N. Rosenbloom, R. R. Buchholz, G. Danabasoglu, D. M. Lawrence, and J.-F. Lamarque, 2021: Coupled Climate Responses to Recent Australian Wildfire and COVID-19 Emissions Anomalies Estimated in CESM2, Geo. Res. Lett., doi:10.1029/2021GL093841. Man, W.,M. Zuo, T. Zhou, J. T. Fasullo, I. Bethke, K. Chen, L. Zou, B. Wu, 2021: Potential influences of volcanic eruptions on future global land monsoon precipitation changes, Earth's Future, doi:10.1029/2020EF001803. Cheng, L., J Abraham, K E. Trenberth, J. T. Fasullo, T Boyer, R Locarnini, B Zhang, F Yu YU, L. Wan, X Chen,, X Song, Y Liu, M E. Mann, F Reseghetti, S Simoncelli, V Gouretski, G Chen, A Mishonov, J Reagan, and J Zhu, 2021: Ocean temperatures hit record high in 2020, Adv. Atm. Sci, 10.1007/s00376-021-0447-x. Kato, S., N. Loeb, J. T. Fasullo, K.E. Trenberth, P. Lauritzen, D. Rose, D. Rutan, M. Satoh, 2021: Regional energy and water budget of a precipitating atmosphere over ocean J Clim., doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0175.1

2020

Hamlington, B., T. Frederikse , P.R. Thompson , J.K. Willis , R.S. Nerem , J.T. Fasullo, 2020: Past, Present and Future Pacific Sea-Level Change, Earth's Future, doi: 10.1029/2020EF001839. Phillips, A. S., C. Deser, J Fasullo, D. P. Schneider and I. R. Simpson, 2020: Assessing Climate Variability and Change in Model Large Ensembles: A User’s Guide to the “Climate Variability Diagnostics Package for Large Ensembles”, doi:10.5065/h7c7-f961 Covey, Curt, Lindzen, Richard S., Fasullo, John, and Taylor, Karl E. Quasi-stationary Planetary Scale Waves in Modern Climate Models. United States: N. p., 2020. Web. doi:10.2172/1716593. Jain, S, S K Mishra, A Anand, P Salunke, J. T Fasullo, 2020: Historical and Projected Low-Frequency Variability in the Somali Jet and Indian Summer Monsoon, Clim. Dyn., 56, 749–765, doi:10.1007/s00382-020-05492-z. Cheng, L., K.E. Trenberth, N. Gruber, M. E. Mann, J. P. Abraham, J.T. Fasullo, G. Li, X. Zhao, J. Zhu, 2020: Improved estimates of changes in upper ocean salinity and the hydrological cycle, J. Climate, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0366.1. Stevenson, S., A. Wittenberg, J. Fasullo, S. Coats, B. Otto-Bliesner, 2020, Understanding Diverse Model Projections of Future Extreme El Niño,J. Climate, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0969.1. Coats, S., J. E. Smerdon, S. Stevenson, J. T. Fasullo, B Otto-Bliesner, T. R. Ault, Paleoclimate constraints on the spatiotemporal character of past and future droughts, J. Climate, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0004.1. Liu, Y., J. Li , J. Fasullo , D. L. Galloway , 2020: Land subsidence contributions to relative sea level rise at tide gauge Galveston Pier 21, Texas, Scientific Reports, doi: 10.1038/s41598-020-74696-4. Herrera, D., T R. Ault, C. M. Carrillo, J. T. Fasullo, X. Li, C. P. Evans1, M. J. Alessi1, N. M. Mahowald, 2020: Dynamical characteristics of drought in the Caribbean from observations and simulations, J. Clim, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0100.1. Fasullo, J.T. 2020: Evaluating Simulated Climate Patterns from the CMIP Archives Using Satellite and Reanalysis Datasets, Geo. Mod. Dev., doi:10.5194/gmd-2020-1. Orbe, C. and coauthors, 2020: Representation of Modes of Variability in 6 U.S. Climate Models J. Clim., doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0956.1. Fasullo, J.T., P. Gent, R.S. Nerem 2020, Sea Level Rise in the CESM Large Ensemble: The Role of Individual Climate Forcings and Consequences for the Coming Decades, J. Clim., doi:10.1029/2019JC016030. Hamlington, B. C. G. Piecuch , J.T. Reager, H. Chandanpurkar, T. Frederikse, R. S. Nerem, J. T. Fasullo, S.-H. Cheon 2020, Origin of Interannual Variability in Global Mean Sea Level, Proc. Nat. Aca. Sci., doi: 10.1073/pnas.1922190117. Fasullo, J.T., P. Gent, R.S. Nerem 2020, Forced Patterns of Sea Level Rise in the Community Earth System Model Large Ensemble from 1920 to 2100, J. Geo. Res. - Oceans, doi: 10.1029/2019JC016030. Fasullo, J.T., A. Phillips, C. Deser 2020, Evaluation of Leading Modes of Climate Variability in the CMIP Archives, J. Climate, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-19-1024.1. Hamlington and Coauthors 2020, Understanding of Contemporary Regional Sea Level Change and the Implications for the Future, Rev. Geophys, doi:10.1029/2019RG000672. Hamlington, B., T. Frederikse, R.S. Nerem, J.T. Fasullo, S. Adhikari 2020: Acceleration of Regional Sea-level Rise During the Satellite Altimeter Era, Geo. Res. Lett., doi:10.1029/2019GL086528. Danabasoglu et al. 2020: The Community Earth System Model version 2 (CESM2), J. Adv. Modeling Earth Systems, 10.1029/2019MS001916. Cheng et al. 2020: Record-Setting Ocean Warmth Continued in 2019, Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 10.1007/s00376-020-9283-7

2018-2019

Simpson, I. et al. 2019: The regional hydroclimate response to stratospheric sulfate geoengineering and the role of stratospheric heating, J. Geo. Res. Atm., 10.1029/2019JD031093 Chandanpurkar, H., J Fasullo, J Reager, Robert Nerem, James Famiglietti, Asymmetric Response of Land Storage to ENSO Phase and Duration, Water, doi:10.3390/w11112249. Fasullo, J.T., B. Otto-Bliesner, S. Stevenson, The Influence of Volcanic Aerosol Meridional Structure on Monsoon Responses over the Last Millennium, Geo. Res. Lett., 46(21),12350-12359, doi:10.1029/2019GL084377. Gettelman, A., J. T. Bacmeister, C. Hannay, R. B. Neale, A. G. Pendergrass, G. Danabasoglu, J.-F. Lamarque, J. T. Fasullo, High Climate Sensitivity in the Community Earth System Model version 2 (CESM2), Geo. Res. Lett., 10.1029/2019GL083978. Tokarska, K.B., G. C. Hegerl, A. P. Schurer, A. Ribes, and J.T. Fasullo, Quantifying human contributions to past and future ocean warming and thermosteric sea level rise, Environ. Res. Lett. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ab23c1. Trenberth, K.T., Y. Zhang, J.T. Fasullo, L. Cheng. Observation-based estimate of global and basin ocean meridional heat transport time series, J. Clim., 10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0872.1. Hamlington, Fasullo, Nerem, Kim, Landerer, Uncovering the Pattern of Forced Sea Level Rise in the Satellite Altimeter Record, Geophysical Research Letters, doi:10.1029/2018GL081386. Cheng, L. K. E. Trenberth, J.T. Fasullo, M. Mayer, M. Balmaseda, J. Zhu, Evolution of ocean heat content related to ENSO, Journal of Climate, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0607.1. Cheng, Zhu, Abraham, Trenberth, Fasullo, Boyer, Locarini, Zhang, Wan, Chen, Song 2018 Continues Record Global Ocean Warming, Adv. Atm. Sci.,10.1007/s00376-019-8276-x Trenberth, K.T., Y. Zhang, J.T. Fasullo, L. Cheng. Observation-based estimate of global and basin ocean meridional heat transport time series, J. Clim., 10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0872.1. Cheng, L. K. E. Trenberth, J.T. Fasullo, M. Mayer, M. Balmaseda, J. Zhu, Evolution of ocean heat content related to ENSO, Journal of Climate, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0607.1. Cheng, Zhu, Abraham, Trenberth, Fasullo, Boyer, Locarini, Zhang, Wan, Chen, Song 2018 Continues Record Global Ocean Warming, Adv. Atm. Sci.,10.1007/s00376-019-8276-x Nerem, R.S., and J.T. Fasullo: Observations of the Rate and Acceleration of Sea Level Change, Bull. Amer. Met. Soc., doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0247.1. Fasullo, J.T., R. S. Nerem, Altimeter-Era Emergence of the Patterns of Forced Sea Level Rise in Climate Models and Implications for the Future, Proc. Nat. Aca. Sci., 10.1073/pnas.1813233115. Herrera, T. Ault, J.T. Fasullo, S. Coats, C. Carillo, and Benjamin Cook 2018: Unprecedented 2013–2016 Caribbean drought intensified by climate change, Geo. Res. Lett., 10.1029/2018GL079408. Fasullo, J.T., and coauthors 2018: Persistent Polar Ocean Warming in a Strategically Geoengineered Climate, Nature Geoscience, 10.1038/s41561-018-0249-7. Fasullo, J.T., B. Otto-Bliesner, S. Stevenson 2018, ENSO Teleconnections to Temperature, Precipitation and Wildfire in a Warming Climate, Geo. Res. Lett., doi: 10.1029/2018GL079022. Tilmes, S., and coauthors 2018: CESM1(WACCM) Stratospheric Aerosol Geoengineering Large Ensemble (GLENS) Project, Bull. Amer. Met. Soc., doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-17-0267.1. Trenberth, K.T., L. Cheng, P. Jacobs, Y. Zhang J.T. Fasullo 2018: Hurricane Harvey links to ocean heat content and climate change adaptation, Earth's Future, doi: 10.1029/2018EF000825. Trenberth, K.T. and J.T. Fasullo 2018: Applications of an updated atmospheric energetics formulation, J. Clim., doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0838.1. Fasullo, J.T. 2018: Sea Level Rise, McGraw-Hill Encyclopedia of Science and Technology. doi: 10.1036/1097-8542.609550 Mishra, S.K., Anand A., Bhagat S., and J.T. Fasullo 2018: Importance of the Resolution of Surface Topography in Indian Monsoon Simulation, J. Clim., doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0324.1. Stevenson, S, J. Overpeck, J.T. Fasullo, S. Coats, L. Parsons, T. Ault, B. Otto-Bliesner, G. Loope, J. Cole 2018: Climate Variability, Volcanic Forcing, and Last Millennium Hydroclimate Extremes, J. Clim.,doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0407.1. R. S. Nerem, B. D. Beckley, J.T. Fasullo, B. D. Hamlington, D. Masters and G. T. Mitchum 2018: Climate-change–driven accelerated sea-level rise detected in the altimeter era. PNAS 2018 DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1717312115.

2016-2017

Owens, M.J., M. Lockwood, E. Hawkins, I. Usoskin, G. Jones, L. Barnard, A. Schurer, J.T. Fasullo 2017: The Maunder minimum and the Little Ice Age: an update from recent reconstructions and climate simulations, J. Space Weather Space Clim.,7,A33, doi: https://doi.org/10.1051/swsc/2017034. Global climate impacts of a potential volcanic eruption of Mount Agung, Skeptical Science. Fasullo, J.T., and P. R. Gent 2017: On the Relationship between Regional Ocean Heat Content and Sea Surface Height, J. Climate, 30, 9195–9211, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0920.1. Fasullo, J.T., R. Tomas, S. Stevenson, B. Otto-Bleisner, E. Brady, and E. Wahl 2017: The Amplifying Influence of Increased Ocean Stratification on A Future Year Without A Summer, Nature Communications, doi: 10.1038/s41467-017-01302-z. Cheng, L., K. E. Trenberth, J.T. Fasullo, J. Abraham, T. Boyer, K. von Schuckmann, J. Zhu 2018: Taking the pulse of the planet. Earth and Space Science News, Eos, 99, 14-16. Doi: 10.1029/2017EO081839. Wang, P. X., Wang, B., Cheng, H., Fasullo, J.T., Guo, Z. T., Kiefer, T., and Liu, Z. Y.: 2017, The Global Monsoon across Time Scales: Mechanisms and outstanding issues, Earth Science Reviews, 174, 84-121, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.earscirev.2017.07.006. Trenberth, K. E. and J.T. Fasullo 2017: Atlantic meridional heat transports computed from balancing Earth’s energy locally, Geo.Phys. Res. Lett.,44, doi:10.1002/2016GL072475. Cheng, L, K. Trenberth, J.T. Fasullo, T. Boyer, J. Abraham, J. Zhu 2017: Improved estimates of ocean heat content from 1960 to 2015, Science Advances, 3, doi: 10.1126/sciadv.1601545. Stevenson, S., A. Capotondi, J.T. Fasullo and B. Otto-Bliesner 2017: Forced Changes to 20th Century ENSO Diversity in a Last Millennium Context, Climate Dynamics, doi:10.1007/s00382-017-3573-5. Stevenson, S., B. Otto-Bliesner, J.T. Fasullo 2017: Considering Eruption Season to Reconcile Model and Proxy Responses to Tropical Volcanism, Proc. Nat. Acad. Sci., 114, 1822–1826, doi: 10.1073/pnas.1612505114. Fasullo, J.T., and R. S. Nerem 2016: Interannual Variability in Global Mean Sea Level Estimated from the CESM Large and Last Millennium Ensembles, Water, 8 (11), 491, doi:10.3390/w8110491. Fasullo, J.T., R. S. Nerem, and B. Hamlington 2016: Is detection of accelerated sea level rise imminent? Scientific Reports, 6, 31245, doi:10.1038/srep31245.

Trenberth, K. E., J.T. Fasullo, K. von Schuckmann and L. Cheng 2016: Insights into Earth’s energy imbalance from multiple sources. J. Climate, 29, 7495-7505. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0339, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0339.1 Covey, C., P.J. Gleckler, C. Doutriaux, D.N. Williams, A. Dai, J.T. Fasullo, K.E. Trenberth, and A. Berg 2016: Metrics for the Diurnal Cycle of Precipitation: Toward Routine Benchmarks for Climate Models, J. Clim., 29, 4461-4471, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0664.1. Fasullo, J.T., D. Lawrence, and S. Swenson 2016: Are GRACE-Era Terrestrial Water Trends Driven By Anthropogenic Climate Change? Advances in Meteorology, doi:10.1155/2016/4830603. Mayer, M., J.T. Fasullo, K E. Trenberth, L. Haimberger 2016: ENSO-Driven Energy Budget Perturbations in CMIP models, Clim. Dyn., doi:10.1007/s00382-016-3057-z. Stevenson, S., B. Otto-Bliesner, J.T. Fasullo, and E. Brady 2016: 'El Nino Like' Hydroclimate Responses to Last Millennium Volcanic Eruptions J. Clim., http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0239.1.

2014-2015

Trenberth, K. E., Y. Zhang, and J.T. Fasullo 2015: Relationships among top-of- atmosphere radiation and atmospheric state variables in observations and CESM, J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 120, doi:10.1002/2015JD023381 Grise, K., L. M. Polvani, and J.T. Fasullo 2015: Re-examining the emergent constraint between climate sensitivity and the Southern Hemisphere radiation budget in CMIP models J. Clim.doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0031.1 Loeb, N.G., H. Wang, A. Cheng, S. Kato, J.T. Fasullo, K.M. Xu, R. P. Allan 2015: Observational Constraints on Atmospheric and Oceanic Cross-Equatorial Heat Transports, Clim. Dyn, doi:10.1007/s00382-015-2766-z. Otto-Bliesner, B. et al., The Last Millennium Ensemble Project with the Community Earth System Model (CESM): A Resource for Studying Climate Variability and Change since 850, Bull. Amer. Met. Soc., doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-14-00233.1. Trenberth, K.E., J.T. Fasullo and T. Shephard 2015: Attribution of climate extreme events Nature Climate Change, doi:10.1038/nclimate2657. Stevens, B., A Abe-Ouchi, S Bony, G Hegerl, G Schmidt, S Sherwood, M Webb, Contributors: M Allen, T Andrews, J Annan, K Armour, N Bellouin, R Caballero, J Church, M Crucifix, A Dessler, T Edwards, J Fasullo, O Geoffrey, C Golaz, J Gregory, R Knutti, M Latif, N Lewis, T Mauritsen, D Sexton, G Stephens, R Sutton, J Vial, K Yu, M Zelinka 2015: RINGBERG15: EARTH’S CLIMATE SENSITIVITIES, Report from a workshop held on 23-27 March 2015, Schloss Ringberg, Germany WCRP Report No. 11/2015. Fasullo, J.T., B.W. Sanderson, and K.E. Trenberth 2015: Recent Progress in Constraining Climate Sensitivity with Models Current Climate Change Reports, 1, 268-275, doi: 10.1007/s40641-015-0021-7. Trenberth, K. E., Y. Zhang, J.T. Fasullo, and S. Taguchi 2015: Climate variability and relationships between top-of-atmosphere radiation and temperatures on Earth. J. Geophys. Res., 120, 3642-3659, Doi: 10.1002/2014JD022887. Phillips, A. S., C. Deser, and J.T. Fasullo 2014: A new tool for evaluating modes of variability in climate models. EOS, 95, 453-455, doi: 10.1002/2014EO490002. Wang, P. X., Wang, B., Cheng, H., Fasullo, J.T., Guo, Z. T., Kiefer, T., and Liu, Z. Y.: The global monsoon across timescales: coherent variability of regional monsoons, Clim. Past, 10 2007-2052, doi:10.5194/cp-10-2007-2014 2014. Abraham, J., Fasullo, J.T., & Laden, G. 2014: Continued Global Warming in the Midst of Natural Climate Fluctuations. Reports of the National Center for Science Education, 34(6). Abraham, J. P., Kumar, S., Bickmore, B. R., & Fasullo, J.T. (2014). Issues Related to the Use of One-dimensional Ocean-diffusion Models for Determining Climate Sensitivity. J Earth Sci Clim Change, 5(220), 2. Fasullo, J.T. 2014: Challenges in Constraining Climate Sensitivity: Should IPCC AR5’s Lower Bound Be Revised Upward?(revised for Skeptical Science) Trenberth, K.E., J.T. Fasullo, G. Branstator, and Adam S. Phillips 2014: Seasonal aspects of the recent pause in surface warming, Nature Climate Change, doi:10.1038/nclimate2341. Abraham, J.P., J. Cook, J.T. Fasullo, P. H. Jacobs, S. A. Mandia, and D. A Nuccitelli, Review of the Consensus and Asymmetric Quality of Research on Human-Induced Climate Change, Cosmopolis, Vol. 2014-1, pp. 3-18 2014. Trenberth, K. E., J.T. Fasullo and M. A. Balmaseda: 2014: Earth's energy imbalance. J. Climate, 27, 3129-3144. doi:10.1175/JCLI‐D-13-00294. Trenberth, K. E., and J.T. Fasullo 2014: An apparent hiatus in global warming? Earth's Future. Doi: 10.002/2013EF000165.

2012-2013

Fasullo, J.T. 2013: Rainfall's oceanic underpinnings, Nature Geoscience: News and Views, doi:10.1038/ngeo1997. Tilmes, S., et al. 2013: The hydrological impact of geoengineering in the Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project (GeoMIP), Geophys. Res. Lett., 118, doi:10.1002/jgrd.50868. Fasullo, J.T. 2013: Some Levelheadedness Regarding Sea Level Variability, Global Water Forum. Fasullo, J.T. 2013: Australia's Dominant Role in Recent Sea Level Variability. OzEWEX. Fasullo, J.T. 2013: Some Levelheadedness Regarding Sea Level Variability, Skeptical Science . Fasullo, J.T., C. Boening, F. W. Landerer, and R. S. Nerem 2013: Australia's unique influence on global sea level in 2010-2011, Geophys. Res. Lett., 40, 4368-4373, doi:10.1002/grl.50834 Contributing author: IPCC AR5: Chapter 12: Long-term climate change: Projections, commitments and irreversibility. Collins, M., R. Knutti, J. Arblaster, J.-L. Dufresne, T. Fichefet, P. Friedlingstein, X. Gao, W.J. Gutowski, T. Johns, G. Krinner, M. Shongwe, C. Tebaldi, A.J. Weaver and M. Wehner 2013: Long-term Climate Change: Projections, Com- mitments and Irreversibility. In: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Stocker, T.F., D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S.K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA. Abraham, J.P., M. Baringer, N.L. Bindoff, T. Boyer, L.J. Cheng, J.A. Church, J.L. Conroy, C.M. Domingues, J.T. Fasullo, J. Gilson, G. Goni, S.A. Good, J. M. Gorman, V. Gouretski, M. Ishii, G.C. Johnson, S. Kizu, J.M. Lyman, A. M. Macdonald, W.J. Minkowycz, S.E. Moffitt, M.D. Palmer, A.R. Piola, F. Reseghetti, K. Schuckmann,K.E. Trenberth, I. Velicogna, J.K. Willis, A review of global ocean temperature observations: Implications for ocean heat content estimates and climate change, Rev. Geophys., 51, 450-483, doi:10.1002/rog.20022. Trenberth, K. E., and J.T. Fasullo 2013: Regional energy and water cycles: Transports from ocean to land. J. Climate, 26. 7837-7851, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-00008.1 Mayer, Michael, K. E. Trenberth, Leopold Haimberger, J.T. Fasullo 2013: The Response of Tropical Atmospheric Energy Budgets to ENSO. J. Climate, 26, 4710-4724.doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00681.1 Gettelman, A., J. E. Kay, J.T. Fasullo 2013: Spatial Decomposition of Climate Feedbacks in the Community Earth System Model. J. Climate, 26, 3544-3561. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00497.1 Meehl, Gerald A., Aixue Hu, Julie M. Arblaster, J.T. Fasullo, K. E. Trenberth 2013: Externally Forced and Internally Generated Decadal Climate Variability Associated with the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation. J. Climate, 26, 7298-7310, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00548.1 Trenberth, K. E., and J.T. Fasullo 2013: North American water and energy cycles, Geophys. Res. Lett., 40, 365-369, doi:10.1002/grl.50107. Schneider, D. P., C. Deser, J.T. Fasullo, and K. E. Trenberth 2013: Climate Data Guide Spurs Discovery and Understanding, Eos Trans. AGU, 94(13), 121, doi: 10.1002/2013EO130001 Fasullo, J.T., and K.E. Trenberth 2012: A Less Cloudy Future: The role of subtropical subsidence in climate sensitivity, Science 9 November 2012: 338 no. 6108 pp. 792-794, DOI: 10.1126/science.1227465. Boening, C., F. W. Landerer, R.S. Nerem, J.K. Willis, J.T. Fasullo 2012: The 2011 La Nina: So strong, the oceans fell, Geophys. Res. Lett., 39, 19, doi:10.1029/2012GL053055 2012. Trenberth, K.E., and J.T. Fasullo 2012: Climate extremes and climate change: The Russian heat wave and other climate extremes of 2010, J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 117, D17103, doi:10.1029/2012JD018020. Trenberth, K.E. and J.T. Fasullo 2012: Tracking Earth's energy: From El Nino to global warming. Surveys in Geophysics, Special Issue,33, 413-426, doi:10.1007/s10712-011-9150-2. Jochum, M., A. Jahn, S. Peacock, D. Bailey, J.T. Fasullo, J. Kay, S. Levis, and B. Otto-bliesner 2012: True to Milankovitch: Glacial inception in the new Community Climate System Model. J. Climate,25, 2226-2239. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00044.1. Trenberth, K. E., and J.T. Fasullo 2012: Atmospheric moisture transports from ocean to land in reanalyses. GEWEX Newsletter, 22, 1, 8-10. http://www.gewex.org/gewexnews/Feb2012.pdf Fasullo, J.T. 2011: A Mechanism for land-ocean contrasts in global monsoon trends in a warming climate, PAGES Special Issue on Global Monsoons, Climate Dynamics,39, 1137-1147, doi: 10.1007/s00382-011-1270-3.

2010-2011

Trenberth, K.E., J.T. Fasullo and J. P. Abraham 2011: Commentary: Issues in establishing climate sensitivity in recent studies, Remote Sens. 2011, 3(9) 2051-2056, doi:10.3390/rs3092051. Meehl, G. A., J. M. Arblaster, J.T. Fasullo, A. Hu and K.E. Trenberth 2011: Model-based evidence of deep-ocean heat uptake during surface-temperature hiatus periods, Nature Climate Change, 1, 360-364, DOI: 10.1038/NCLIMATE1229. Trenberth, K.E. and J.T. Fasullo 2011: Misdiagnosis of surface temperature feedback, Real Climate, July 29 2011. Trenberth, K.E., J.T. Fasullo and J. Mackaro 2011: Atmospheric moisture transports from ocean to land and global energy flows in reanalyses, J. Climate, 24, 4907-4924. doi: 10.1175/2011JCLI4171.1 Huber, M., R. Knutti, I. Mahlstein, M. Wild, and J.T. Fasullo 2011: Constraints on climate sensitivity from radiation patterns in climate models, J. Climate, 24,1034-1052, doi: 10.1175/2010JCLI3403.1. Han, W. and co-authors 2010: Patterns of Indian Ocean sea level change in a warming climate 2010: Nature Geosciences,3, 546 - 550, 11 July 2010, doi:10.1038/NGEO901. Fasullo, J.T. 2010: Robust land-ocean contrasts in energy and water cycle feedbacks, J. Climate, 23, 4677-4693, doi:10.1175/2010JCLI3451.1. Yoo, S., J.T. Fasullo, S. Yang, and C. Ho 2010: On the relationship between Indian Ocean sea surface temperature and the transition from El Nino to La Nina, J. Geophys. Res. Atm., 115, D15114, doi:10.1029/2009JD012978. Trenberth, K.E., Fasullo, J.T. 2010:Tracking Earth's Energy, Science, 328, 316-317, doi:10.1126/science.1187272. Fasullo, J.T., K.E. Trenberth, C. O'Dell 2010: Lindzen and Choi Unraveled, RealClimate. Trenberth, K.E., J.T. Fasullo, C. O'Dell, and T. Wong 2010: Relationships between tropical sea surface temperature and top-of-atmosphere radiation, Geophys. Res. Lett., 37, L03702, doi:10.1029/2009GL042314. Trenberth, K.E., and J.T. Fasullo 2010: Simulation of present day and 21st century energy budgets of the southern oceans, J. Climate, 23, 440-454, doi:10.1175/2009JCLI3152.1.

2008-2009

Menon, S., Koch, D., Beig, G., Sahu, S., Fasullo, J.T., and Orlikowski, D.: Black carbon aerosols and the third polar ice cap, Atmos. Chem. Phys. Discuss., 9, 26593-26625 2009 doi:10.5194/acpd9=265932009. Trenberth, K.E., and J.T. Fasullo 2009: Global warming due to increasing absorbed solar radiation. Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L07706, doi:10.1029/2009GL037527. Trenberth, K.E. and J.T. Fasullo 2009: Changes in the flow of Energy through the Earth's Climate System, Meteorologische Zeitschrift, 18, 4, 369-377, DOI 10.1127/0941-2948/2009/0388. Trenberth, K.E., J.T. Fasullo, and J.T. Kiehl 2009: Earth's Global Energy Budget. Bull. Amer. Met. Soc. 90, 3, 311-323, DOI:10.1175/2008BAMS2634.1 Trenberth, K.E., and J.T. Fasullo 2008, Energy budgets of Atlantic hurricanes and changes from 1970, Geochem. Geophys Geosyst., 9, Q09V08, doi:10.1029/2007GC001847. Trenberth, K.E. and J.T. Fasullo 2008: An observational estimate of ocean energy divergence, J.Phys. Ocn. 38, 5, 984-999. Fasullo, J.T. and K.E. Trenberth 2008: Part I: The annual cycle of the energy budget: Global mean and land-ocean exchanges, J. Climate, 21, 10, 2297-2313, doi:10.1175/2007JCLI1935.1 Fasullo, J.T. and K.E. Trenberth 2008: Part II: The annual cycle of the energy budget: Meridional structures and poleward transports, J. Climate, 21, 10, 2314-2326, doi:10.1175/2007JCLI1936.1

2005-2007

Trenberth, K.E. L. Smith, T. Qian, A. Dai. and J.T. Fasullo 2007: Estimates of the global water budget and its annual cycle using observational and model data, J. Hydro. Met., 8 ,758-769, doi:10.1175/JHM600.1. Trenberth, K.E. , C. A. Davis, and J.T. Fasullo 2007: The water and energy budget of hurricanes: Case studies of Ivan and Katrina. J. Geo. Res.-Atmos., 112 (D23), doi:10.1029/2006JD008303. Trenberth, K.E. and J.T. Fasullo 2007: The water and energy budgets of hurricanes and implications for climate change. J. Geo. Res-Atmos., 112 (D23), doi:10.1029/2006JD008304. Fasullo, J.T. 2006: Assessing tropical cyclone trends in the context of potential sampling biases. Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, L24808, doi:10.1029/2006GL027852. Fasullo, J. 2005: Atmospheric Hydrology of the anomalous 2002 Indian summer monsoon, Mon. Wea. Rev, 10, 2996-3014, doi:10.1175/MWR3014.1. Trenberth, K.E., J.T. Fasullo, and L. Smith 2005: Trends and variability in Column-integrated atmospheric water vapor. Climate Dynamics., 24, 741-758, doi:10.1007/s00382-005-0017-4. Goes, J., P. G. Thoppil, H.R. Gomes, J.T. Fasullo 2005: Warming of the Eurasian landmass Is making the Arabian Sea more productive, Science, 308, 5721, 545-547, doi:10.1126/science.1106610.

1999-2004

Fasullo, J.T. 2004a: A stratified diagnosis of the Indian monsoon-Eurasian snow cover relationship. J. Climate, 17, 1110-1122., doi:10.1175/1520-0442(2004)017<1110:ASDOTI>2.0.CO;2 Fasullo, J. 2004b: Biennial characteristics of Indian monsoon rainfall. J. Climate, 17, 2972-2982, doi:10.1175/1520-0442(2004)017<2972:BCOIMR>2.0.CO;2 Fasullo, J. and P.J. Webster 2003: A hydrological definition of Indian monsoon onset and withdrawal. J. Climate, 16, 3200-3211, doi:10.1175/1520-0442(2003)016<3200a:AHDOIM>2.0.CO;2. Sun, D.Z., J.T. Fasullo, T. Zhang, and A. Roubicek 2003: On the radiative and dynamical feedbacks over the equatorial Pacific cold tongue. J. Climate, 16, 2425-2432, doi:10.1175/2786.1. Webster, P.J., C. Clark, G. Cherikova, J.T. Fasullo, W. Han, J. Loschnigg, K. Sahami 2002: The monsoon as a self-regulating coupled ocean—atmosphere system, International Geophysics, 83, 198-219, doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/S0074-6142(02)80168-1. Fasullo, J. and P.J. Webster, 1999: Warm pool SST variability in relation to the surface energy balance. J. Climate, 12, 1292-1305, doi:10.1175/1520-0442(1999)012<1292:WPSVIR>2.0.CO;2 Fasullo, J. and P.J. Webster 2000: Atmospheric and surface variations during westerly wind bursts in the tropical western Pacific. Q J Roy Meteor Soc, 126, 899-924, doi:10.1256/smsqj.56406. Fasullo, J. and D.Z. Sun 2001: Radiative sensitivity to water vapor under all-sky conditions. J. Climate, 14, 2798-2807, doi:10.1175/1520-0442(2001)014<2798:RSTWVU>2.0.CO;2., Fasullo, J. and P.J. Webster 2002: Hydrological signatures relating the Asian summer monsoon and ENSO. J. Climate, 15, 3082-3095, doi:10.1175/1520-0442(2002)015<3082:HSRTAS>2.0.CO;2.